As we approach the end of the football season (this weekend being the end for the regular season in the football league) it’s time to reflect on the experiment that was the reason for the blog!
First up we had to move sites due to the amount of traffic we had around the New Year causing our hosts to want to charge us for that traffic!
At the turn of the year I blogged my end of season predictions 18/1 for Man United to win the Premiership, QPR to win the Championship, Brighton to win League 1 and Chesterfield to win League 2. That looks like coming in pending the league issues surrounding QPR. Hopefully it will payout, come the end of next week when Man United collect their 19th Premiership.
On the 3rd of December I suggested taking the 9/2 on Plymouth to be relegated. Due to their 10 point deduction in February this prediction promptly paid out last week. Hopefully Plymouth can find a new owner sooner rather than later and hopefully this time next year we will be talking about promotion?
So I had 2 good long range predictions come good (pending QPR), on the weekly front I had mixed fortunes, I believe I had 4 out of 4 on 2 occasions this season which is a bit disappointing, other bets paid on 2 out of 4 and 3 out of 4 meaning I have pretty much broken even on the weekend bets. I don’t think that’s overly impressive but equally it’s been a lot of fun and an interesting test. Clearly if Man United win the Premiership and QPR are given a reprieve then it will certainly be a winning season.
So to this weekends selections start in the Championship with relegated Scunthorpe United. Expect to see Scunthorpe near the top of League 1 next season, they entertain Portsmouth who have done well after a poor start to the season. I think both teams will sign off with a goal so will jump on the 4/6 for both teams to score. Its a meaningless game for both so I expect this to be open and full of action.
2 other teams that have nothing to play for are Leicester and Ipswich, they meet after both flattering to deceive a month or so ago when they were being tipped for possible playoff contention. Again I cannot pick a winner but do expect both to show their defensive issues and concede. In 68% of games this season Leicester have scored and conceded at home and on Ipswich they have scored and conceded on 54.5% of games. At 3 / 4 this is my second selection.
Everything is pretty much sorted in League 1 except for Dagenham and Walsall fans. I take Dagenham to go down as they are away at playoff side Peterborough. In mid table we find Carlisle, they have won 9 at home this season and entertain Yeovil. Another lesson for the season was the advice of my learned friend who told me back home teams again teams travelling long distances! I will take this advice and go for Carlisle to beat Yeovil! Carlisle are available at Evens.
Finally in League 2 I am looking at Stevenage at home to Bury. Bury could win the League if they win and Chesterfield lose at home to Gillingham. However, Stevenage can guarantee a playoff slot if they beat Bury. If Gillingham get a better result that Stevenage then they would be in the playoffs so it’s all rather tight! I expect Stevenage to beat Bury and take a playoff slot, I’m also hoping Torquay get something at Rotherham so that they also make the playoffs! Its Stevenage at 11/10 for me!
My Yankee this week will pay £59 and the accumulator would pay £122.50.
Finally well done to Rochdale, they have had a fine first season in League 1! They won some good away games at long prices for me so it’s why I pick them out!
Check out details for next season here
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Showing posts with label plymouth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label plymouth. Show all posts
Friday, 6 May 2011
Friday, 8 April 2011
So its all about the language we use!
I wonder who got the most out of the week gone by. The FA for charging Rooney for swearing down a tv camera, Rooney for swearing down a tv camera or the papers for reporting on the whole thing. My view? he shouldn't have done it, he did do it, someone will do it again and as long as they get charged as well I will be happy. I don't as I have said in the past think the football world has any respect for the paying public and this proves my point. Its not ok to do what he did, his manager and his club back Rooney and the FA did what they could but its too little and its too late.
Tomorrow sees the annual renewal of the Grand National. Last year we saw the greatest jockey AP McCoy win the race for the first time, it was interesting from a betting standpoint as his mount was backed down from 20-1 to 10-1 at the off! Some gamble and it paid off! This year he goes for an amazing double, the like of which we haven't seen since Red Rum. Again he has been backed down from 16-1 to 10-1 and is likely to go off as the single figured favourite once the housewives tuck into it tomorrow! he has a big chance and will have some of my money riding with him!
To the football for this week, rather than look at the prices I'm purely looking at who I think will win and not be put off by odds. Its a change in tactic to see whether I get unduly influenced by price. I'm also picking one game from each league.
Starting in the premiership we have Blackburn and Birmingham. 2 teams fighting at the wrong end of the table, Birmingham have the Carling Cup safely tucked away but need to get some points to retain their premiership status. I don't like what is happening at Blackburn and still feel they could go down, they lost at Birmingham early in the season but alot has changed since then. Blackburn have drawn their last 2 games, the 0-0 at Arsenal will be seen as a point gained, I expect this to be close again and I think the draw is the most sensible course of action.
Blackburn Vs Birmingham - Draw
On to the Championship where run away leaders QPR seem to just keep on winning!! Its top playing away at bottom (Scunthorpe Vs QPR) and I can only see one result. Its QPR all the way for me and soon they will be celebrating promotion. Scunthorpe have not won since the 5th March and havent even scored since the 8 March. QPR haven't lost since the 8th March and haven't let a goal in over the past 2 games.
QPR to win away for me.
In League 1 we have a number of big games at both ends of the table. At the bottom Plymouth are at home to Walsall, its a long way to survival for Plymouth now but a win against Walsall will keep the locals dreaming of a miracle. Walsall haven't won away since they beat Carlisle in February, Plymouth havn't won at home since 8th March! Its a must win for both teams so I see it being an open game. I expect both teams to score but cannot suggest what the result might be! I'll go goal crazy on this game. Good luck to Plymouth I hope they get sorted!
Goal Crazy Plymouth Vs Walsall
Finally in the League 2 we have Bradford and Torquay. Bradford have changed their manager recently and Torquay are kicking on to try and get a play off place. This game will once again produce goals and I see both teams scoring. Both teams kept a clean sheet last time out and rarely at this level do teams constantly keep clean sheets.
Goal crazy Bardford vs Torquay
the £1 Yankee pays £72!
Enjoy the weekend and the Grand National!
check out details for next season
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Tomorrow sees the annual renewal of the Grand National. Last year we saw the greatest jockey AP McCoy win the race for the first time, it was interesting from a betting standpoint as his mount was backed down from 20-1 to 10-1 at the off! Some gamble and it paid off! This year he goes for an amazing double, the like of which we haven't seen since Red Rum. Again he has been backed down from 16-1 to 10-1 and is likely to go off as the single figured favourite once the housewives tuck into it tomorrow! he has a big chance and will have some of my money riding with him!
To the football for this week, rather than look at the prices I'm purely looking at who I think will win and not be put off by odds. Its a change in tactic to see whether I get unduly influenced by price. I'm also picking one game from each league.
Starting in the premiership we have Blackburn and Birmingham. 2 teams fighting at the wrong end of the table, Birmingham have the Carling Cup safely tucked away but need to get some points to retain their premiership status. I don't like what is happening at Blackburn and still feel they could go down, they lost at Birmingham early in the season but alot has changed since then. Blackburn have drawn their last 2 games, the 0-0 at Arsenal will be seen as a point gained, I expect this to be close again and I think the draw is the most sensible course of action.
Blackburn Vs Birmingham - Draw
On to the Championship where run away leaders QPR seem to just keep on winning!! Its top playing away at bottom (Scunthorpe Vs QPR) and I can only see one result. Its QPR all the way for me and soon they will be celebrating promotion. Scunthorpe have not won since the 5th March and havent even scored since the 8 March. QPR haven't lost since the 8th March and haven't let a goal in over the past 2 games.
QPR to win away for me.
In League 1 we have a number of big games at both ends of the table. At the bottom Plymouth are at home to Walsall, its a long way to survival for Plymouth now but a win against Walsall will keep the locals dreaming of a miracle. Walsall haven't won away since they beat Carlisle in February, Plymouth havn't won at home since 8th March! Its a must win for both teams so I see it being an open game. I expect both teams to score but cannot suggest what the result might be! I'll go goal crazy on this game. Good luck to Plymouth I hope they get sorted!
Goal Crazy Plymouth Vs Walsall
Finally in the League 2 we have Bradford and Torquay. Bradford have changed their manager recently and Torquay are kicking on to try and get a play off place. This game will once again produce goals and I see both teams scoring. Both teams kept a clean sheet last time out and rarely at this level do teams constantly keep clean sheets.
Goal crazy Bardford vs Torquay
the £1 Yankee pays £72!
Enjoy the weekend and the Grand National!
check out details for next season
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Friday, 1 April 2011
Time for the run in!
The start of April always brings with it the tim eof year when things get a bit more serious in the football world. Those teams trying to get out of their league, those trying to stay in their league and those trying for the Premier League title.
As I look at my bet from 1 January (18/1) on Man U , QPR, Brighton and Chesterfield I sit in the comfort that 3 of the 4 look certain to win their leagues. Man U are the ones in doubt as the premier league this year has been somewhat upside down!
For those attempting to get out of trouble, I fear for Preston and Scunthorpe in the Championship, Plymouth in League 1 (despite a bet at 9/2 for them to go down) and almost dead and buried already Barnet and Stockport.
Again the premiership is fairly wide open although Balckburn have the worst form of any team in the League and at 2/1 to go down is the stand out bet of the weekend.
Turning to the matches this weekend my selections are as follows.
Yeovil and Bristol Rovers are scrapping for survival, Yeovil have won their last 3 games 2 of those away at Exeter 2-3 and at Orient 1-5. Bristol are stuck in the bottom 4 and I think if Yeovil win on Saturday that should just about be enough for them so will go out with extra incentives.
10/11 for Yeovil to win.
Barnet look like they are dead and buried and tomorrow could see the start of the end for them. They are 5 points behind Burton and have played 3 games more. Tomorrow Burton host Barnet for the biggest 6 pointer of both teams season. I expect Burton to keep up their good home form and take this one. As a foot note I hope the appointment of Martin Allen helps both Martin and Barnet and I hope they both make a swift return to the League 2 if they do eventually go down.
At 23/20 its too big to miss.
Runaway leaders in league 2 are Chesterfield. Chesterfield recently drew 2-2 at Barnet so are due a return to winning ways. Port Vale sit on the edge of the playoff picture but I doubt they will remain there after tomorrow.
At 5/6 chesterfield are for me.
Finally Exeter host Dagenham. Anyone that has followed my blog this year will know that Exeter are one of my "go to" teams when I am looking for a win. I have had reasonable success with Exeter this season, they have won on 8 occasions at home this year and should see a Dagenham team that are another team languising towards the wrong end of the table. Dagenham could end up at the end of the season being the beneficiaries of Plymouths 10 point deduction but will need a few more points for that to happen. I dont think these will come at Exeter so I again go for Exeter to win.
5/4 is a big price for this home banker!
On a foot note, i read this week that if you had laid £100 against Tony McCoy on all of his horses that were 4/1 or shorter for the past 4 years you would now have £30,000!!!!
its an interesting stat but its 4 years late!
Good luck with your weekend fixture selection.
The £1 yankee pays £75, the £10 accumulator will net just shy of £170.
As I look at my bet from 1 January (18/1) on Man U , QPR, Brighton and Chesterfield I sit in the comfort that 3 of the 4 look certain to win their leagues. Man U are the ones in doubt as the premier league this year has been somewhat upside down!
For those attempting to get out of trouble, I fear for Preston and Scunthorpe in the Championship, Plymouth in League 1 (despite a bet at 9/2 for them to go down) and almost dead and buried already Barnet and Stockport.
Again the premiership is fairly wide open although Balckburn have the worst form of any team in the League and at 2/1 to go down is the stand out bet of the weekend.
Turning to the matches this weekend my selections are as follows.
Yeovil and Bristol Rovers are scrapping for survival, Yeovil have won their last 3 games 2 of those away at Exeter 2-3 and at Orient 1-5. Bristol are stuck in the bottom 4 and I think if Yeovil win on Saturday that should just about be enough for them so will go out with extra incentives.
10/11 for Yeovil to win.
Barnet look like they are dead and buried and tomorrow could see the start of the end for them. They are 5 points behind Burton and have played 3 games more. Tomorrow Burton host Barnet for the biggest 6 pointer of both teams season. I expect Burton to keep up their good home form and take this one. As a foot note I hope the appointment of Martin Allen helps both Martin and Barnet and I hope they both make a swift return to the League 2 if they do eventually go down.
At 23/20 its too big to miss.
Runaway leaders in league 2 are Chesterfield. Chesterfield recently drew 2-2 at Barnet so are due a return to winning ways. Port Vale sit on the edge of the playoff picture but I doubt they will remain there after tomorrow.
At 5/6 chesterfield are for me.
Finally Exeter host Dagenham. Anyone that has followed my blog this year will know that Exeter are one of my "go to" teams when I am looking for a win. I have had reasonable success with Exeter this season, they have won on 8 occasions at home this year and should see a Dagenham team that are another team languising towards the wrong end of the table. Dagenham could end up at the end of the season being the beneficiaries of Plymouths 10 point deduction but will need a few more points for that to happen. I dont think these will come at Exeter so I again go for Exeter to win.
5/4 is a big price for this home banker!
On a foot note, i read this week that if you had laid £100 against Tony McCoy on all of his horses that were 4/1 or shorter for the past 4 years you would now have £30,000!!!!
its an interesting stat but its 4 years late!
Good luck with your weekend fixture selection.
The £1 yankee pays £75, the £10 accumulator will net just shy of £170.
Friday, 25 February 2011
Plymouths Argyles plight gets worse!
On the 3rd December 2010 I raised the issues Plymouth Argyle faced and pointed out that they were a huge 9/2 to stay up this season. Since then they have sold numerous players won very few games and took a 10 point penalty for breaching finance rules and now find themselves rock bottom of the league and facing almost certain relegation. Clearly the lack of finance now is a day to day concern for the Plymouth board and the on field activities may almost be of secondary importance behind the future of the club. Its a real shame that this club find themselves in this situation however the writing was on the wall the minute England lost the race to host the World Cup. Plymouths owners seemed to be only interested in the club up to the point where there was no chance of getting their hands on some of that World Cup gold. Now unfortunately the clubs fans will have a nail biting wait to see whether they can survive as a club and then can they dig themselves out of trouble?
On the betting front clearly the 9/2 on offer in December now looks like the bet of the season!
Turning to European matters it was interesting to see another clean sweep for British clubs this week, Liverpool, Man City and Rangers all qualifying in the Europa League for the last 16 and Chelsea winning in Denmark with Man U avoiding defeat in France. Our league once again looks very strong at European level and hopefully we can go on and lift some of the Silverware on offer!
Looking ahead to this weeks fixtures, Yeovil travel to Tranmere. Earlier in the season these 2 teams were involved in a 4 goal match, Yeovil coming out on top 3-1. On that day Yeovil were 3 up inside 39 minutes with Tranmere scoring in the 89th minute for what was only a consolation goal. At that time Tranmere had only won once all season and were somewhat struggling for form. The tables have turned over recent times and Tranmere now sit 2 places and 4 points above Yeovil. Tranmere have won 6 games at home and have not lost at home in the league since December 11. Yeovil haven’t won since they beat Plymouth at home on 1 February 1-0 and days before won away at Brentford. I expect Tranmere to continue their good home form and pick up 3 points.
Tranmere 11/10 to win
In the premiership Newcastle entertain Bolton. These clubs are locke together 8th and 9th presently Bolton ahead by 1 point. Newcastle have had an up and down season but have scored 30 goals at home which is the second highest in the League together with Arsenal. Bolton have only won 2 away and have only won once at St James Park in the past 10 seasons. Owen Coyle have Bolton playing in a different style these days however with home ground advantage I go for Newcastle to win this, and expect goals!
Newcastle 11/10 to win
Amazingly Blackpool are 10/3 to win at Wolves. Given Blackpools style of play and the way they have beaten the likes of Liverpool and Spurs this season I see this as a massive price for Holloways men. Wolves may have beaten Man U recently but can the team get so pumped up when facing a team like Blackpool? Again I see goals here but 10/3 is far too big in my view for Blackpool!
Blackpool 10/3 to win
Another team that has done well away from home this season is Scunthorpe. They travel to Bristol City on the back of a 3-2 home win against Sheffield United, a 0-0 draw with Derby and a 1-0 home win to Forest. In my view that is cracking form and if Scunthorpe can continue in that form they can avoid the drop this season. Bristol City have recovered after a bad start to the season but are still only 17th in the league and far from out of danger. They recently beat Watford 1-3 but lost to Leicester 2-1 and Leeds at home 0-2. Scunthrpe have yet to draw away this season and I can see them turning on the away form to snatch a win at Bristol. Again the price of 10/3 looks incredibly large!
Scunthorpe 10/3 to win
The £1 yankee pays £259 and the £10 Accumulator £838
On the betting front clearly the 9/2 on offer in December now looks like the bet of the season!
Turning to European matters it was interesting to see another clean sweep for British clubs this week, Liverpool, Man City and Rangers all qualifying in the Europa League for the last 16 and Chelsea winning in Denmark with Man U avoiding defeat in France. Our league once again looks very strong at European level and hopefully we can go on and lift some of the Silverware on offer!
Looking ahead to this weeks fixtures, Yeovil travel to Tranmere. Earlier in the season these 2 teams were involved in a 4 goal match, Yeovil coming out on top 3-1. On that day Yeovil were 3 up inside 39 minutes with Tranmere scoring in the 89th minute for what was only a consolation goal. At that time Tranmere had only won once all season and were somewhat struggling for form. The tables have turned over recent times and Tranmere now sit 2 places and 4 points above Yeovil. Tranmere have won 6 games at home and have not lost at home in the league since December 11. Yeovil haven’t won since they beat Plymouth at home on 1 February 1-0 and days before won away at Brentford. I expect Tranmere to continue their good home form and pick up 3 points.
Tranmere 11/10 to win
In the premiership Newcastle entertain Bolton. These clubs are locke together 8th and 9th presently Bolton ahead by 1 point. Newcastle have had an up and down season but have scored 30 goals at home which is the second highest in the League together with Arsenal. Bolton have only won 2 away and have only won once at St James Park in the past 10 seasons. Owen Coyle have Bolton playing in a different style these days however with home ground advantage I go for Newcastle to win this, and expect goals!
Newcastle 11/10 to win
Amazingly Blackpool are 10/3 to win at Wolves. Given Blackpools style of play and the way they have beaten the likes of Liverpool and Spurs this season I see this as a massive price for Holloways men. Wolves may have beaten Man U recently but can the team get so pumped up when facing a team like Blackpool? Again I see goals here but 10/3 is far too big in my view for Blackpool!
Blackpool 10/3 to win
Another team that has done well away from home this season is Scunthorpe. They travel to Bristol City on the back of a 3-2 home win against Sheffield United, a 0-0 draw with Derby and a 1-0 home win to Forest. In my view that is cracking form and if Scunthorpe can continue in that form they can avoid the drop this season. Bristol City have recovered after a bad start to the season but are still only 17th in the league and far from out of danger. They recently beat Watford 1-3 but lost to Leicester 2-1 and Leeds at home 0-2. Scunthrpe have yet to draw away this season and I can see them turning on the away form to snatch a win at Bristol. Again the price of 10/3 looks incredibly large!
Scunthorpe 10/3 to win
The £1 yankee pays £259 and the £10 Accumulator £838
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