As we approach the end of the football season (this weekend being the end for the regular season in the football league) it’s time to reflect on the experiment that was the reason for the blog!
First up we had to move sites due to the amount of traffic we had around the New Year causing our hosts to want to charge us for that traffic!
At the turn of the year I blogged my end of season predictions 18/1 for Man United to win the Premiership, QPR to win the Championship, Brighton to win League 1 and Chesterfield to win League 2. That looks like coming in pending the league issues surrounding QPR. Hopefully it will payout, come the end of next week when Man United collect their 19th Premiership.
On the 3rd of December I suggested taking the 9/2 on Plymouth to be relegated. Due to their 10 point deduction in February this prediction promptly paid out last week. Hopefully Plymouth can find a new owner sooner rather than later and hopefully this time next year we will be talking about promotion?
So I had 2 good long range predictions come good (pending QPR), on the weekly front I had mixed fortunes, I believe I had 4 out of 4 on 2 occasions this season which is a bit disappointing, other bets paid on 2 out of 4 and 3 out of 4 meaning I have pretty much broken even on the weekend bets. I don’t think that’s overly impressive but equally it’s been a lot of fun and an interesting test. Clearly if Man United win the Premiership and QPR are given a reprieve then it will certainly be a winning season.
So to this weekends selections start in the Championship with relegated Scunthorpe United. Expect to see Scunthorpe near the top of League 1 next season, they entertain Portsmouth who have done well after a poor start to the season. I think both teams will sign off with a goal so will jump on the 4/6 for both teams to score. Its a meaningless game for both so I expect this to be open and full of action.
2 other teams that have nothing to play for are Leicester and Ipswich, they meet after both flattering to deceive a month or so ago when they were being tipped for possible playoff contention. Again I cannot pick a winner but do expect both to show their defensive issues and concede. In 68% of games this season Leicester have scored and conceded at home and on Ipswich they have scored and conceded on 54.5% of games. At 3 / 4 this is my second selection.
Everything is pretty much sorted in League 1 except for Dagenham and Walsall fans. I take Dagenham to go down as they are away at playoff side Peterborough. In mid table we find Carlisle, they have won 9 at home this season and entertain Yeovil. Another lesson for the season was the advice of my learned friend who told me back home teams again teams travelling long distances! I will take this advice and go for Carlisle to beat Yeovil! Carlisle are available at Evens.
Finally in League 2 I am looking at Stevenage at home to Bury. Bury could win the League if they win and Chesterfield lose at home to Gillingham. However, Stevenage can guarantee a playoff slot if they beat Bury. If Gillingham get a better result that Stevenage then they would be in the playoffs so it’s all rather tight! I expect Stevenage to beat Bury and take a playoff slot, I’m also hoping Torquay get something at Rotherham so that they also make the playoffs! Its Stevenage at 11/10 for me!
My Yankee this week will pay £59 and the accumulator would pay £122.50.
Finally well done to Rochdale, they have had a fine first season in League 1! They won some good away games at long prices for me so it’s why I pick them out!
Check out details for next season here
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Friday, 6 May 2011
Friday, 15 April 2011
Make or Break Time For Many Clubs
We have reached that point in the season when its make or break time for many. A defeat could mathematically rule teams out of the promotion or play off fight, a win could prounce themselves as the late challengers. At the foot of the tables it the same, a defeat could end hopes of survival, a win couls set up a nerve wrecking end to the season.
The leagues are almost wrapped up now, Man United seem set for another Premier League crown, QPR look likely winners of the Championship. The first team to be promoted this season are Brighton, again they look solid to take the League 1 crown and Chesterfield sit handily in League 2. I can confirm that those 4 teams were available as an accumulator of 18/1 on New Years day so I'm pretty hopeful of collecting on that bet!
I am currently in the process of building a stats database, hopefully it will be perfected for the start of next season, it allows me to analyse all league matches since 2002/03 for all 4 leagues. It provides a mass of stats at the touch of a button so I can see current form, head to head form, goals scored for that all important goal crazy bet!
Quickly looking at the Stats I see that Burton are in real danger now of going down from League 2. They have lost their last 4 games and drew the other of 5 away 0-0 at Stockport! This shows no form at all. At home things aren't much better, 1 win and 2 draws in 5 including that 1-5 defeat to Barnet a couple of weeks ago. Barnet themselves have managed 2 away wins in 5 and drawn 1 and at home they have won 2 and drawn 2, they also played teams such as Crewe, Chesterfield and Lincoln without defeat. Burton are available at 9/4 to go down, in a 2 horse race where Burton only have 1 game in hand is a very interesting proposition. Barnet were galvanised by Martin Allen for a couple of weeks but he has since moved on to Notts County. I might bet half a stake on Burton to go down at that price.
In League 1 its almost certain that Plymouth will be leaving, hopefully as a relegated club and not one that is in liquidation. I understand that Peter Risdale is on Talksport this morning so that will make an interesting listen. It seems the bookies feel that Swindon and Bristol Rovers will also fall down a league leaving 1 place left to fight for with Notts County, Dagenham & Redbridge and Walsall the likely 3 teams attempting to avoid that position. Walsall are favourites to drop of those 3, althogh Notts County occupy the slot at present but have recently brought in the fabled Martin Allen to sort them out! It could be too late and at 6/5 maybe a double with Burton is a possible bet!
So to the weekend selections, I had some restbite last week with a second in the Grand National but I have nothing to back me up thyis week so hopefully the new stats application will start to payback the hours I have sunk into it!
First into the hotseat this week are Charlton and Huddersfield. Charlton were recharged under Chris Powell earlier in the season but things have gon a bit flat, they have fallen out of contention for a playoff birth and find themselves stranded in mid table. Their home form is not great although they did win last timeo ut against Orient 3-1 which eneded a run of 5 games at home without a win. Huddersfield on the other hand are unbeaten away in tehir last 10 games a run that stretches back to defeat at Southampton in December. Huddersfield lie in 3rd place on goal difference to second placed Southampton. I always feel at this time of the year its better to bet on the teams with something to play for rather than the ones with nothing to look forward to other than the summer break!
Huddersfield to win 5/4.
Staying in League 1 we have surprise package Rochdale. Ever since Rochdale won away at Southampton back at the start of the season I have been watching them carefully. This week they beat Southampton at home at a price of 11/4 which was most welcome, and now have a shot at the play offs. They are at home to Cup Finalists Brentford, another team with little hope of bridging the gap to the play off picture. Brentford have only won 2 away games in 10 and both of those wins came at clubs stranded in the middle of the league. Rochdale have won 3 of their last 4, drawing the other 2-2 with high flyers Brighton. Rochdale have had a great run in their first season in League 1 and hopefully they can go on and get a play off slot.
4/5 Rochdale home win.
In the Championship Leeds welcome Watford to Elland Road. Watford were play off contenders for some of the season but have slipped south in recent weeks. Leeds have been on the edge of things for most of the season and currently occupy the last slot, a position they will be keen not to give up. Leeds are high scorers at home, they drew 0-0 with Ipswich recently but also had wins of 4-1 and 5-2 and draws of 2-2 and 3-3 to go with the 0-0! Watford have won once away in 5, losing the last 2 and drawing the others 1-1. I think its a day for Leeds to push on to the play offs so its Leeds to win
4/6 Leeds.
Finally in League 2 Torquay play Port Vale. Torquay are pushing hard for a play off spot and have won their last 4 games, before that they drew with Rotherham. In that time they have only conceded 1 goal. Port Vale however have lost their last 2 away games to 0 and at home have only won once in 5. So Port Vale, another team that were looking likely promotion candidates are slowly slipping to a position of neither up nor down!
5/6 for Torquay to keep the pressure on at the top of the play off picture.
Some other interesting options for the weekend - Scunthorpe won at home to QPR last week (against my bet) at odds of 6/1. This week they go to Crystal Palace, Scunthorpe have only scored once in 10 away games losing them all! I was tempted by Scunthorpe but at 100/30 the price was a bit short for me!
In the Premiership Birmingham play Sunderland. The Black Cats were once looking for a Europa Cup place but since selling Darren Bent haven't had anything to cheer! Sunderland havent won since beating Blackppol away on 22 January! They have to break that run at some point and at 11/4 it might be tomorrow!
The yankee pays £60 and the accumulator will pay £123 or thereabouts!
check out details for next season here
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
The leagues are almost wrapped up now, Man United seem set for another Premier League crown, QPR look likely winners of the Championship. The first team to be promoted this season are Brighton, again they look solid to take the League 1 crown and Chesterfield sit handily in League 2. I can confirm that those 4 teams were available as an accumulator of 18/1 on New Years day so I'm pretty hopeful of collecting on that bet!
I am currently in the process of building a stats database, hopefully it will be perfected for the start of next season, it allows me to analyse all league matches since 2002/03 for all 4 leagues. It provides a mass of stats at the touch of a button so I can see current form, head to head form, goals scored for that all important goal crazy bet!
Quickly looking at the Stats I see that Burton are in real danger now of going down from League 2. They have lost their last 4 games and drew the other of 5 away 0-0 at Stockport! This shows no form at all. At home things aren't much better, 1 win and 2 draws in 5 including that 1-5 defeat to Barnet a couple of weeks ago. Barnet themselves have managed 2 away wins in 5 and drawn 1 and at home they have won 2 and drawn 2, they also played teams such as Crewe, Chesterfield and Lincoln without defeat. Burton are available at 9/4 to go down, in a 2 horse race where Burton only have 1 game in hand is a very interesting proposition. Barnet were galvanised by Martin Allen for a couple of weeks but he has since moved on to Notts County. I might bet half a stake on Burton to go down at that price.
In League 1 its almost certain that Plymouth will be leaving, hopefully as a relegated club and not one that is in liquidation. I understand that Peter Risdale is on Talksport this morning so that will make an interesting listen. It seems the bookies feel that Swindon and Bristol Rovers will also fall down a league leaving 1 place left to fight for with Notts County, Dagenham & Redbridge and Walsall the likely 3 teams attempting to avoid that position. Walsall are favourites to drop of those 3, althogh Notts County occupy the slot at present but have recently brought in the fabled Martin Allen to sort them out! It could be too late and at 6/5 maybe a double with Burton is a possible bet!
So to the weekend selections, I had some restbite last week with a second in the Grand National but I have nothing to back me up thyis week so hopefully the new stats application will start to payback the hours I have sunk into it!
First into the hotseat this week are Charlton and Huddersfield. Charlton were recharged under Chris Powell earlier in the season but things have gon a bit flat, they have fallen out of contention for a playoff birth and find themselves stranded in mid table. Their home form is not great although they did win last timeo ut against Orient 3-1 which eneded a run of 5 games at home without a win. Huddersfield on the other hand are unbeaten away in tehir last 10 games a run that stretches back to defeat at Southampton in December. Huddersfield lie in 3rd place on goal difference to second placed Southampton. I always feel at this time of the year its better to bet on the teams with something to play for rather than the ones with nothing to look forward to other than the summer break!
Huddersfield to win 5/4.
Staying in League 1 we have surprise package Rochdale. Ever since Rochdale won away at Southampton back at the start of the season I have been watching them carefully. This week they beat Southampton at home at a price of 11/4 which was most welcome, and now have a shot at the play offs. They are at home to Cup Finalists Brentford, another team with little hope of bridging the gap to the play off picture. Brentford have only won 2 away games in 10 and both of those wins came at clubs stranded in the middle of the league. Rochdale have won 3 of their last 4, drawing the other 2-2 with high flyers Brighton. Rochdale have had a great run in their first season in League 1 and hopefully they can go on and get a play off slot.
4/5 Rochdale home win.
In the Championship Leeds welcome Watford to Elland Road. Watford were play off contenders for some of the season but have slipped south in recent weeks. Leeds have been on the edge of things for most of the season and currently occupy the last slot, a position they will be keen not to give up. Leeds are high scorers at home, they drew 0-0 with Ipswich recently but also had wins of 4-1 and 5-2 and draws of 2-2 and 3-3 to go with the 0-0! Watford have won once away in 5, losing the last 2 and drawing the others 1-1. I think its a day for Leeds to push on to the play offs so its Leeds to win
4/6 Leeds.
Finally in League 2 Torquay play Port Vale. Torquay are pushing hard for a play off spot and have won their last 4 games, before that they drew with Rotherham. In that time they have only conceded 1 goal. Port Vale however have lost their last 2 away games to 0 and at home have only won once in 5. So Port Vale, another team that were looking likely promotion candidates are slowly slipping to a position of neither up nor down!
5/6 for Torquay to keep the pressure on at the top of the play off picture.
Some other interesting options for the weekend - Scunthorpe won at home to QPR last week (against my bet) at odds of 6/1. This week they go to Crystal Palace, Scunthorpe have only scored once in 10 away games losing them all! I was tempted by Scunthorpe but at 100/30 the price was a bit short for me!
In the Premiership Birmingham play Sunderland. The Black Cats were once looking for a Europa Cup place but since selling Darren Bent haven't had anything to cheer! Sunderland havent won since beating Blackppol away on 22 January! They have to break that run at some point and at 11/4 it might be tomorrow!
The yankee pays £60 and the accumulator will pay £123 or thereabouts!
check out details for next season here
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Friday, 8 April 2011
So its all about the language we use!
I wonder who got the most out of the week gone by. The FA for charging Rooney for swearing down a tv camera, Rooney for swearing down a tv camera or the papers for reporting on the whole thing. My view? he shouldn't have done it, he did do it, someone will do it again and as long as they get charged as well I will be happy. I don't as I have said in the past think the football world has any respect for the paying public and this proves my point. Its not ok to do what he did, his manager and his club back Rooney and the FA did what they could but its too little and its too late.
Tomorrow sees the annual renewal of the Grand National. Last year we saw the greatest jockey AP McCoy win the race for the first time, it was interesting from a betting standpoint as his mount was backed down from 20-1 to 10-1 at the off! Some gamble and it paid off! This year he goes for an amazing double, the like of which we haven't seen since Red Rum. Again he has been backed down from 16-1 to 10-1 and is likely to go off as the single figured favourite once the housewives tuck into it tomorrow! he has a big chance and will have some of my money riding with him!
To the football for this week, rather than look at the prices I'm purely looking at who I think will win and not be put off by odds. Its a change in tactic to see whether I get unduly influenced by price. I'm also picking one game from each league.
Starting in the premiership we have Blackburn and Birmingham. 2 teams fighting at the wrong end of the table, Birmingham have the Carling Cup safely tucked away but need to get some points to retain their premiership status. I don't like what is happening at Blackburn and still feel they could go down, they lost at Birmingham early in the season but alot has changed since then. Blackburn have drawn their last 2 games, the 0-0 at Arsenal will be seen as a point gained, I expect this to be close again and I think the draw is the most sensible course of action.
Blackburn Vs Birmingham - Draw
On to the Championship where run away leaders QPR seem to just keep on winning!! Its top playing away at bottom (Scunthorpe Vs QPR) and I can only see one result. Its QPR all the way for me and soon they will be celebrating promotion. Scunthorpe have not won since the 5th March and havent even scored since the 8 March. QPR haven't lost since the 8th March and haven't let a goal in over the past 2 games.
QPR to win away for me.
In League 1 we have a number of big games at both ends of the table. At the bottom Plymouth are at home to Walsall, its a long way to survival for Plymouth now but a win against Walsall will keep the locals dreaming of a miracle. Walsall haven't won away since they beat Carlisle in February, Plymouth havn't won at home since 8th March! Its a must win for both teams so I see it being an open game. I expect both teams to score but cannot suggest what the result might be! I'll go goal crazy on this game. Good luck to Plymouth I hope they get sorted!
Goal Crazy Plymouth Vs Walsall
Finally in the League 2 we have Bradford and Torquay. Bradford have changed their manager recently and Torquay are kicking on to try and get a play off place. This game will once again produce goals and I see both teams scoring. Both teams kept a clean sheet last time out and rarely at this level do teams constantly keep clean sheets.
Goal crazy Bardford vs Torquay
the £1 Yankee pays £72!
Enjoy the weekend and the Grand National!
check out details for next season
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Tomorrow sees the annual renewal of the Grand National. Last year we saw the greatest jockey AP McCoy win the race for the first time, it was interesting from a betting standpoint as his mount was backed down from 20-1 to 10-1 at the off! Some gamble and it paid off! This year he goes for an amazing double, the like of which we haven't seen since Red Rum. Again he has been backed down from 16-1 to 10-1 and is likely to go off as the single figured favourite once the housewives tuck into it tomorrow! he has a big chance and will have some of my money riding with him!
To the football for this week, rather than look at the prices I'm purely looking at who I think will win and not be put off by odds. Its a change in tactic to see whether I get unduly influenced by price. I'm also picking one game from each league.
Starting in the premiership we have Blackburn and Birmingham. 2 teams fighting at the wrong end of the table, Birmingham have the Carling Cup safely tucked away but need to get some points to retain their premiership status. I don't like what is happening at Blackburn and still feel they could go down, they lost at Birmingham early in the season but alot has changed since then. Blackburn have drawn their last 2 games, the 0-0 at Arsenal will be seen as a point gained, I expect this to be close again and I think the draw is the most sensible course of action.
Blackburn Vs Birmingham - Draw
On to the Championship where run away leaders QPR seem to just keep on winning!! Its top playing away at bottom (Scunthorpe Vs QPR) and I can only see one result. Its QPR all the way for me and soon they will be celebrating promotion. Scunthorpe have not won since the 5th March and havent even scored since the 8 March. QPR haven't lost since the 8th March and haven't let a goal in over the past 2 games.
QPR to win away for me.
In League 1 we have a number of big games at both ends of the table. At the bottom Plymouth are at home to Walsall, its a long way to survival for Plymouth now but a win against Walsall will keep the locals dreaming of a miracle. Walsall haven't won away since they beat Carlisle in February, Plymouth havn't won at home since 8th March! Its a must win for both teams so I see it being an open game. I expect both teams to score but cannot suggest what the result might be! I'll go goal crazy on this game. Good luck to Plymouth I hope they get sorted!
Goal Crazy Plymouth Vs Walsall
Finally in the League 2 we have Bradford and Torquay. Bradford have changed their manager recently and Torquay are kicking on to try and get a play off place. This game will once again produce goals and I see both teams scoring. Both teams kept a clean sheet last time out and rarely at this level do teams constantly keep clean sheets.
Goal crazy Bardford vs Torquay
the £1 Yankee pays £72!
Enjoy the weekend and the Grand National!
check out details for next season
http://topfootballbetting.blogspot.com/2011/06/early-20112012-league-winner-thoughts.html
Friday, 1 April 2011
Time for the run in!
The start of April always brings with it the tim eof year when things get a bit more serious in the football world. Those teams trying to get out of their league, those trying to stay in their league and those trying for the Premier League title.
As I look at my bet from 1 January (18/1) on Man U , QPR, Brighton and Chesterfield I sit in the comfort that 3 of the 4 look certain to win their leagues. Man U are the ones in doubt as the premier league this year has been somewhat upside down!
For those attempting to get out of trouble, I fear for Preston and Scunthorpe in the Championship, Plymouth in League 1 (despite a bet at 9/2 for them to go down) and almost dead and buried already Barnet and Stockport.
Again the premiership is fairly wide open although Balckburn have the worst form of any team in the League and at 2/1 to go down is the stand out bet of the weekend.
Turning to the matches this weekend my selections are as follows.
Yeovil and Bristol Rovers are scrapping for survival, Yeovil have won their last 3 games 2 of those away at Exeter 2-3 and at Orient 1-5. Bristol are stuck in the bottom 4 and I think if Yeovil win on Saturday that should just about be enough for them so will go out with extra incentives.
10/11 for Yeovil to win.
Barnet look like they are dead and buried and tomorrow could see the start of the end for them. They are 5 points behind Burton and have played 3 games more. Tomorrow Burton host Barnet for the biggest 6 pointer of both teams season. I expect Burton to keep up their good home form and take this one. As a foot note I hope the appointment of Martin Allen helps both Martin and Barnet and I hope they both make a swift return to the League 2 if they do eventually go down.
At 23/20 its too big to miss.
Runaway leaders in league 2 are Chesterfield. Chesterfield recently drew 2-2 at Barnet so are due a return to winning ways. Port Vale sit on the edge of the playoff picture but I doubt they will remain there after tomorrow.
At 5/6 chesterfield are for me.
Finally Exeter host Dagenham. Anyone that has followed my blog this year will know that Exeter are one of my "go to" teams when I am looking for a win. I have had reasonable success with Exeter this season, they have won on 8 occasions at home this year and should see a Dagenham team that are another team languising towards the wrong end of the table. Dagenham could end up at the end of the season being the beneficiaries of Plymouths 10 point deduction but will need a few more points for that to happen. I dont think these will come at Exeter so I again go for Exeter to win.
5/4 is a big price for this home banker!
On a foot note, i read this week that if you had laid £100 against Tony McCoy on all of his horses that were 4/1 or shorter for the past 4 years you would now have £30,000!!!!
its an interesting stat but its 4 years late!
Good luck with your weekend fixture selection.
The £1 yankee pays £75, the £10 accumulator will net just shy of £170.
As I look at my bet from 1 January (18/1) on Man U , QPR, Brighton and Chesterfield I sit in the comfort that 3 of the 4 look certain to win their leagues. Man U are the ones in doubt as the premier league this year has been somewhat upside down!
For those attempting to get out of trouble, I fear for Preston and Scunthorpe in the Championship, Plymouth in League 1 (despite a bet at 9/2 for them to go down) and almost dead and buried already Barnet and Stockport.
Again the premiership is fairly wide open although Balckburn have the worst form of any team in the League and at 2/1 to go down is the stand out bet of the weekend.
Turning to the matches this weekend my selections are as follows.
Yeovil and Bristol Rovers are scrapping for survival, Yeovil have won their last 3 games 2 of those away at Exeter 2-3 and at Orient 1-5. Bristol are stuck in the bottom 4 and I think if Yeovil win on Saturday that should just about be enough for them so will go out with extra incentives.
10/11 for Yeovil to win.
Barnet look like they are dead and buried and tomorrow could see the start of the end for them. They are 5 points behind Burton and have played 3 games more. Tomorrow Burton host Barnet for the biggest 6 pointer of both teams season. I expect Burton to keep up their good home form and take this one. As a foot note I hope the appointment of Martin Allen helps both Martin and Barnet and I hope they both make a swift return to the League 2 if they do eventually go down.
At 23/20 its too big to miss.
Runaway leaders in league 2 are Chesterfield. Chesterfield recently drew 2-2 at Barnet so are due a return to winning ways. Port Vale sit on the edge of the playoff picture but I doubt they will remain there after tomorrow.
At 5/6 chesterfield are for me.
Finally Exeter host Dagenham. Anyone that has followed my blog this year will know that Exeter are one of my "go to" teams when I am looking for a win. I have had reasonable success with Exeter this season, they have won on 8 occasions at home this year and should see a Dagenham team that are another team languising towards the wrong end of the table. Dagenham could end up at the end of the season being the beneficiaries of Plymouths 10 point deduction but will need a few more points for that to happen. I dont think these will come at Exeter so I again go for Exeter to win.
5/4 is a big price for this home banker!
On a foot note, i read this week that if you had laid £100 against Tony McCoy on all of his horses that were 4/1 or shorter for the past 4 years you would now have £30,000!!!!
its an interesting stat but its 4 years late!
Good luck with your weekend fixture selection.
The £1 yankee pays £75, the £10 accumulator will net just shy of £170.
Friday, 25 March 2011
International Weekend Is Back
Its been a fairly quiet week in the build up to the International fixtures. The main talking point seems to revolve around the 2 captains of England and Wales. One a young guy that has been out for 16 months and doesn't hold down a first team place, the other an ex captain reinstated as England has no one else! As an England fan I don't believe its important who is captain, for me the 11 on the pitch and the formation is the key to success! No doubt John Terry will attempt to make money from his new position as he did last time but I guess the players to replace him are almost non existent! However another fact that you might be interested in... this could be the first time both Lampard and Gerrard are missing (not through injury) from the starting line up since the World Cup semi final defeat against Brazil in 2002! Since then one, the other or both when fit has played!
The betting front has also been quiet and another poor treble last week didn't help! However yesterday I backed India to beat Australia and today when wickets started to fall I managed to get New Zealand at Evens to beat South Africa! So for a change this week I will be picking bets from different sports.
First up I'm going for Sri Lanka to beat England in the cricket, its looks like the Group of qualifiers from Sri Lankas group is much stronger than the England group and thus expect Sri Lanka to proceed. Yardy has set the tone by being depressed before England have been beaten and returned home already! Sri Lanka are 1/2 to beat England.
Over in Wales I do expect England to win and to win comfortably, Wales will miss Bale on the wing and should be able to put away a weak Wales team. England are 2/5 to win this game, for me this is a bit short so I'm opting for over 2.5 goals at Evens. I expect England to score at least twice and can also see Wales scoring. So assuming 3 or more goals should see me right!
Finally in League 1 Brighton and playing at home to Swindon. Brighton are in great form and steaming their way to the League 1 title, Swindon are fighting for their lives in the bottom reaches of the league. Brighton as expected are short favourites at 4/9. This is the right price for me for my treble this week!
the £10 treble will return £43 which will cover my loses for the last couple of weeks!
The betting front has also been quiet and another poor treble last week didn't help! However yesterday I backed India to beat Australia and today when wickets started to fall I managed to get New Zealand at Evens to beat South Africa! So for a change this week I will be picking bets from different sports.
First up I'm going for Sri Lanka to beat England in the cricket, its looks like the Group of qualifiers from Sri Lankas group is much stronger than the England group and thus expect Sri Lanka to proceed. Yardy has set the tone by being depressed before England have been beaten and returned home already! Sri Lanka are 1/2 to beat England.
Over in Wales I do expect England to win and to win comfortably, Wales will miss Bale on the wing and should be able to put away a weak Wales team. England are 2/5 to win this game, for me this is a bit short so I'm opting for over 2.5 goals at Evens. I expect England to score at least twice and can also see Wales scoring. So assuming 3 or more goals should see me right!
Finally in League 1 Brighton and playing at home to Swindon. Brighton are in great form and steaming their way to the League 1 title, Swindon are fighting for their lives in the bottom reaches of the league. Brighton as expected are short favourites at 4/9. This is the right price for me for my treble this week!
the £10 treble will return £43 which will cover my loses for the last couple of weeks!
Friday, 18 March 2011
A fun week at Cheltenham now back to football business
This week I was lucky enough to go to the Cheltenham Festival on Wednesday. Armed with my Racing Post and joined by 3 keen fellow punters we enjoyed a day of expensive food, coolish lager and bets galore. All in all we managed to back the winner in 6 of the 7 races and in the race we didn't win one of the team backed the 33/1 second! So without doubt it was a good day all round and roll on next year!
Turning to football, today saw the long awaited (for Spurs fans at least) draw for the Quarter Finals and Semis of the Champions League. Spurs have drawn Real Madrid and a potential Semi with Barcelona. For me as a Spurs fan it really doesn't get better than that! To pit our wits against the top Spanish clubs after seeing off the Italian giants is a dream come true! Hopefully the Madrid games will be as entertaining as Spurs other games in the Champions League this season!
This weekend I will be looking to capitalise on my gains at Cheltenham and finish off a good betting week.
Ipswich play Scunthorpe who both of whom have had a dreadful time of late. Ipswich haven't won at home since beating Sheffield United on 5 February. recently they have conceded 3 goals in their last 2 home games. Scunthorpe haven't even picked up a point away since they won at Burnley on 28th December. Ipswich are a better side than Scunthorpe and should be too good on the day, I take Ipswich to win this at 8/13.
Preston will be bouyed by finally getting a win this week at Scunthorpe and will be looking to extend their winning run at home to Coventry. Coventry are another team on the decline and indeed lost to Preston 2-1 earlier on in the season at the Ricoh Arena. Coventry have become draw specialists of late and haven't won away since February when they beat Palace, they have drawn 3 of the last 5. Preston can win this one and do their survival hopes some good at 7/5.
This week I'm only looking for a treble and my final selection is for Exeter to beat Yeovil at home. Its a local derby and should get a decent crowd at St James Park. Back in September Exeter won the reverse fixture 3-1 back in September. Although Exeter beat Bournmouth 2-0 in their last home game so are once again showing some home form. Last time out Yeovil were beaten 3-0 at Southampton.
Exeter are 19/20 to win this one.
The £10 treble will pay £75.
Good luck with your weekend betting!
Turning to football, today saw the long awaited (for Spurs fans at least) draw for the Quarter Finals and Semis of the Champions League. Spurs have drawn Real Madrid and a potential Semi with Barcelona. For me as a Spurs fan it really doesn't get better than that! To pit our wits against the top Spanish clubs after seeing off the Italian giants is a dream come true! Hopefully the Madrid games will be as entertaining as Spurs other games in the Champions League this season!
This weekend I will be looking to capitalise on my gains at Cheltenham and finish off a good betting week.
Ipswich play Scunthorpe who both of whom have had a dreadful time of late. Ipswich haven't won at home since beating Sheffield United on 5 February. recently they have conceded 3 goals in their last 2 home games. Scunthorpe haven't even picked up a point away since they won at Burnley on 28th December. Ipswich are a better side than Scunthorpe and should be too good on the day, I take Ipswich to win this at 8/13.
Preston will be bouyed by finally getting a win this week at Scunthorpe and will be looking to extend their winning run at home to Coventry. Coventry are another team on the decline and indeed lost to Preston 2-1 earlier on in the season at the Ricoh Arena. Coventry have become draw specialists of late and haven't won away since February when they beat Palace, they have drawn 3 of the last 5. Preston can win this one and do their survival hopes some good at 7/5.
This week I'm only looking for a treble and my final selection is for Exeter to beat Yeovil at home. Its a local derby and should get a decent crowd at St James Park. Back in September Exeter won the reverse fixture 3-1 back in September. Although Exeter beat Bournmouth 2-0 in their last home game so are once again showing some home form. Last time out Yeovil were beaten 3-0 at Southampton.
Exeter are 19/20 to win this one.
The £10 treble will pay £75.
Good luck with your weekend betting!
Friday, 11 March 2011
Ferguson you should show more respect!
I was very disappointed this week to see that Manchester United, the biggest most successful club of the modern age wouldn't put anyone up for interview. This maybe due to the fact they had just lost 3-1 to Liverpool, their third defeat this season, or it maybe to do with Fergusons endless argument with the footballing authorities. Either way its wrong and it should be stopped. Fans pay a ridiculous amount of money to the line pockets of clubs, players and managers the least the clubs and employees can do is follow the rules and come and talk about the game! It is a fact that Fergie himself should be speaking to the BBC every week, instead he sends out his henchmen and refuses to back down. The League fine Manchester United every week, how much at this stage is unclear but clearly its not enough.
For many weeks I have gone on about the lack of respect clubs show to the common fan and this is another classic example of that!
On the opposite side of the coin we have Harry Redknapp, he too had his issues with the BBC but has managed to get over them and move on. When Spurs won in AC Milan a couple of weeks ago he went to the sky commentary position and sat and had a chat with the presenters (which i concede did include his son Jamie!) Well congratulations to Spurs on reaching the Quarter finals of the champions league, the only English side to not only keep a clean sheet in Europe this week but also not to lose! Arsenal can consider themselves unlucky on many fronts however the unluckiest thing was to draw Barcelona in the first place, the way the Spanish side move the ball around is a joy to watch even if it meant the end of one of our English sides in the competition!
Well last week I managed 4 out of 4 results! It was a welcome return to form, but also I must congratulate my good friend who also managed 4 out of 4! Hopefully we can have a repeat this week!
Tuesday sees the start of the Cheltenham Festival (horses) we will be attending on Wednesday so it would be nice to go with a pocket full of cash!
This week I'm going goal crazy! As a reminder goal crazy is a bet where you win if both teams score, so we need teams that concede at home and teams that concede away!
First up we have Charlton and Brentford. Charlton have had a tough time at home recently and have conceded at home in the past 4 games. Brentford didn't score in their last away game at Hartlepool where they did concede 3 but did score in the previous 5. Therefore I see goals galore at the Valley tomorrow!
4/5 for both teams to score
Next we have Colchester, they didnt score last time out at home to Southampton but did score in all games going back to December 11. Colchester have also lost their last 2 games so will be geared up for a win to get them back on track. MK Dons have scored in their last 7 away games, scoring 4 last time out against Rochdale. On that day Rochdale also scored!
3/4 for both to score
For goals this season you need to go and watch Sheffield Weds. Last time out they lost 2-3 at Oldham, before that 2-4 home to Plymouth! They have lost 5-3 at Peterborough, lost 5-1 at Exeter and won 6-2 at home to Bristol Rovers! A team ful of goals should be able to score at home to Notts County, these 2 played in the cup back in September when it finished 2-1. Notts County are not the most prolific away from home but with Sheffields leaky defense I feel this is a sure thing.
3/4 for both to score
Finally Crewe play Chesterfield. One word on this game - when the 2 teams played the reverse leg the game finished 5-5!
This game is 8/13 for both to score!
Next week we hope to do a podcast as well for the blog so keep your eyes open for that on Friday
For many weeks I have gone on about the lack of respect clubs show to the common fan and this is another classic example of that!
On the opposite side of the coin we have Harry Redknapp, he too had his issues with the BBC but has managed to get over them and move on. When Spurs won in AC Milan a couple of weeks ago he went to the sky commentary position and sat and had a chat with the presenters (which i concede did include his son Jamie!) Well congratulations to Spurs on reaching the Quarter finals of the champions league, the only English side to not only keep a clean sheet in Europe this week but also not to lose! Arsenal can consider themselves unlucky on many fronts however the unluckiest thing was to draw Barcelona in the first place, the way the Spanish side move the ball around is a joy to watch even if it meant the end of one of our English sides in the competition!
Well last week I managed 4 out of 4 results! It was a welcome return to form, but also I must congratulate my good friend who also managed 4 out of 4! Hopefully we can have a repeat this week!
Tuesday sees the start of the Cheltenham Festival (horses) we will be attending on Wednesday so it would be nice to go with a pocket full of cash!
This week I'm going goal crazy! As a reminder goal crazy is a bet where you win if both teams score, so we need teams that concede at home and teams that concede away!
First up we have Charlton and Brentford. Charlton have had a tough time at home recently and have conceded at home in the past 4 games. Brentford didn't score in their last away game at Hartlepool where they did concede 3 but did score in the previous 5. Therefore I see goals galore at the Valley tomorrow!
4/5 for both teams to score
Next we have Colchester, they didnt score last time out at home to Southampton but did score in all games going back to December 11. Colchester have also lost their last 2 games so will be geared up for a win to get them back on track. MK Dons have scored in their last 7 away games, scoring 4 last time out against Rochdale. On that day Rochdale also scored!
3/4 for both to score
For goals this season you need to go and watch Sheffield Weds. Last time out they lost 2-3 at Oldham, before that 2-4 home to Plymouth! They have lost 5-3 at Peterborough, lost 5-1 at Exeter and won 6-2 at home to Bristol Rovers! A team ful of goals should be able to score at home to Notts County, these 2 played in the cup back in September when it finished 2-1. Notts County are not the most prolific away from home but with Sheffields leaky defense I feel this is a sure thing.
3/4 for both to score
Finally Crewe play Chesterfield. One word on this game - when the 2 teams played the reverse leg the game finished 5-5!
This game is 8/13 for both to score!
Next week we hope to do a podcast as well for the blog so keep your eyes open for that on Friday
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