Friday, 8 April 2011

So its all about the language we use!

I wonder who got the most out of the week gone by. The FA for charging Rooney for swearing down a tv camera, Rooney for swearing down a tv camera or the papers for reporting on the whole thing. My view? he shouldn't have done it, he did do it, someone will do it again and as long as they get charged as well I will be happy. I don't as I have said in the past think the football world has any respect for the paying public and this proves my point. Its not ok to do what he did, his manager and his club back Rooney and the FA did what they could but its too little and its too late.

Tomorrow sees the annual renewal of the Grand National. Last year we saw the greatest jockey AP McCoy win the race for the first time, it was interesting from a betting standpoint as his mount was backed down from 20-1 to 10-1 at the off! Some gamble and it paid off! This year he goes for an amazing double, the like of which we haven't seen since Red Rum. Again he has been backed down from 16-1 to 10-1 and is likely to go off as the single figured favourite once the housewives tuck into it tomorrow! he has a big chance and will have some of my money riding with him!

To the football for this week, rather than look at the prices I'm purely looking at who I think will win and not be put off by odds. Its a change in tactic to see whether I get unduly influenced by price. I'm also picking one game from each league.

Starting in the premiership we have Blackburn and Birmingham. 2 teams fighting at the wrong end of the table, Birmingham have the Carling Cup safely tucked away but need to get some points to retain their premiership status. I don't like what is happening at Blackburn and still feel they could go down, they lost at Birmingham early in the season but alot has changed since then. Blackburn have drawn their last 2 games, the 0-0 at Arsenal will be seen as a point gained, I expect this to be close again and I think the draw is the most sensible course of action.

Blackburn Vs Birmingham - Draw

On to the Championship where run away leaders QPR seem to just keep on winning!! Its top playing away at bottom (Scunthorpe Vs QPR) and I can only see one result. Its QPR all the way for me and soon they will be celebrating promotion. Scunthorpe have not won since the 5th March and havent even scored since the 8 March. QPR haven't lost since the 8th March and haven't let a goal in over the past 2 games.

QPR to win away for me.

In League 1 we have a number of big games at both ends of the table. At the bottom Plymouth are at home to Walsall, its a long way to survival for Plymouth now but a win against Walsall will keep the locals dreaming of a miracle. Walsall haven't won away since they beat Carlisle in February, Plymouth havn't won at home since 8th March! Its a must win for both teams so I see it being an open game. I expect both teams to score but cannot suggest what the result might be! I'll go goal crazy on this game. Good luck to Plymouth I hope they get sorted!

Goal Crazy Plymouth Vs Walsall

Finally in the League 2 we have Bradford and Torquay. Bradford have changed their manager recently and Torquay are kicking on to try and get a play off place. This game will once again produce goals and I see both teams scoring. Both teams kept a clean sheet last time out and rarely at this level do teams constantly keep clean sheets.

Goal crazy Bardford vs Torquay

the £1 Yankee pays £72!

Enjoy the weekend and the Grand National!
check out details for next season

1 comment:

  1. Hi Martin – the expectancy of Grand National Day always gets the pulse racing and I’ll wager a few family members will be contacting you to place their annual bet for them. McCoy would be a very popular winner and what better jockey to equal Red Rum’s double record on his mount Don’t Push It? That said, I reckon Sam Whaley-Cohen might just put the icing on his cake after such a successful season – after all, he won the Gold Cup in March and also the delayed King George VI Chase in January of this year. When I take a trip to the bookies, my money will therefore go on his horse tomorrow, Oscar Time.

    On the footie front though, I will also be attempting to recoup some losses with the following:

    Bournemouth v Tranmere (8/13 home win)

    These teams played out a very entertaining 8-goal thriller back in the FA Cup in November, with the Cherries coming out on top by 5 goals to 3. I was tempted to go ‘goals crazy’ on this one, but given we are at the business end of the season, both teams have a lot to play for, but for very different reasons. I think it will therefore be a bit cagier this time round, but expect Bournemouth to press on with their promotion push. Also the ‘teams that have a long distance to travel often play poorly’ theory comes in here! Home win.

    Hartlepool v Yeovil (6/4 home win)

    Aside from the theory also being a factor in this game, I think Yeovil are due to lose an away game after what has been a terrific few weeks for them on the road. They don’t have a great record at Victoria Park either and have only taken the 3 points there once – the very first time they played them some 7 years ago now. Hartlepool are not on a great run of form at the moment (hence the price), but will be looking to get back on the rails in front of their home fans. Home win again.

    Huddersfield v Peterborough (2/5 goals crazy)

    The teams have already played twice this season and Huddersfield shade the goal tally by 6 goals to 5 at the moment. So this will go one of two ways. Either both these free-scoring sides will ‘shut up shop’ given they are sparring at the right end of the table, or we could well be in for another goalfest. I’m hoping it will be the latter and I have gone for the goals crazy option here as a result, although I suspect a scoring draw will ultimately be the result.......

    Hereford v Chesterfield (11/10 away win)

    So for the first time this season, I am changing tack and forecasting an away win. Yes, an away win. A fairly safe gut feeling made this fixture jump out at me and given they are currently the runaway league leaders, I think 11/10 is a pretty good price for Chesterfield. One note of caution though is that they have been beaten in their last two trips to Edgar Street. Hereford have only won 3 games at home all season and Chesterfield have only lost 3 away – given the teams have never drawn a game at Edgar Street in 14 encounters, it’s an away win for me.

    The £1 Yankee pays around £59. Good Luck.