Tomorrow finally sees the start of the premiership season. Its been a long wait and for fans of Tottenham (myself included) and Everton the wait goes on due to the horrific scenes seen in Tottenham last weekend.
I have been thinking of where to look for my bet this week and have been looking at the markets for WBA V Manchester United. Man U are very short at 4/9 so I have been looking elsewhere for some value. I thought Man U were very impressive going forward last weekend in the Community Shield however I don't think they look so good at the back. Their new keeper will need some time to get used to the Premiership and looks like a possible weak link. As such I think WBA will score but Man U will still win the game, so the Goals scored market or both teams to score market may hold the value i'm looking for. The prices are 8/11 more than 2.5 goals and 3/4 both teams to score, as this is so close in terms of price I think that the 8/11 on 2.5 goals is the place to go for safety should Man U not concede. If you think WBA will score but Man U will win then that must mean more than 2.5 goals so take your pick here!
Wigan open up against Norwich, this time last year Wigan lost 0-4 to Blackpool, I don't see anything to suggest Wigan have strengthened this summer so will take a punt on Norwich to repeat the angony seen at Wigan last year. Norwich are a tasty 11/4 to turn over Wigan.
In League 2 Bristol Rovers are at home to another of my teams Torquay United. Rovers played very well and beat Wimbledon last weekend whereas Torquay only managed a 2-2 draw with Burton after being 2 goals down. Paul Buckle the Rovers manager, will look to get one over his old club and I expect Bristol to win this at 5/6.
Finally Swindon travel to local rivals Cheltenham, I expect that Cheltenham will struggle this season and Swindon to go well, Swindon winning last week 3-0 at home and Cheltenham losing away at Gillingham. Swindon should collect 3 more points on Saturday and at 23/20 offer good value.
Once again I will be watching some games to look for some in play markets, if anyone has any betting suggestions please add a comment.
My Yankee is priced as such
8/11
11/4
5/6
23/20
Returns will be £105
Good luck for the weekend!
Hi IMJ
ReplyDeleteI too have been looking for some value tomorrow and I reckon my four home win picks represent just that. I toyed with the idea of some goal crazy betting action, but with hindsight thought it was a bit early in the season to gauge who has their shooting boots on at the moment. You Swindon pick does look like good value, but what about these.......?
Chesterfield v Stevenage – home win 23/20
The home side won this fixture last year by the odd goal and I think this bet represents some good value for money. Last season, Stevenage scored the lowest amount of goals of any of the top 10 sides in the division and although they were promoted, their form was based on a sound defence. They kicked off last week with a goalless draw at home to Excretia City. Whilst the Spirites boasted the best home form in the division with no less than 16 wins last year, they should be looking to get the three points on home turf tomorrow after an opening day setback at Tranmere.
Hartlepool v Walsall – home win 11/10
Ten goals in their last five home encounters with the Saddlers suggests to me that there should be goals here for the home side. They also scored two away from home last weekend before being undone by a 91st minute strike. Whilst Walsall claimed a good three points at home last Saturday, they only won three times on their travels the whole of last season and so I think they will struggle again tomorrow.
Sheffield United v Brentford – home win 11/10
It was only a matter of time before things started to turn around at United and a good opening day win away from home and then a character building penalty shootout win in the midweek cup competition will have increased the confidence of the Blades. They will be looking to consolidate this good start in front of the home fans tomorrow afternoon. The Bees scored the lowest number of away goals in the division last season (a paltry 24) and only bottom club Swindon (20) scored less. I think they might struggle to find the net tomorrow, despite a good win over relegation favourites Yeovil last Saturday.
Hereford v Morecambe – home win 13/10
More value here methinks. Both sides lost 1-0 last weekend and were similarly stuck at the wrong end of the table last season. Nevertheless, Hereford were involved in some high scoring games last season and goals seemed to follow them at either end of the pitch. I think the Bulls might just get their season off and running tomorrow against a Morecambe side who lost a number of their recognised strikers over the summer.
The £1 Yankee pays £90.25 – good luck with your bets tomorrow IMJ.