I must confess that I was a little disappointed in the Hull City display last night. They had plenty of chances but never really looked like they would score. Its clear that the wows of 23 goals in 21 home games last season could again scupper any promotion bid. As for Blackpool I was pleased to see Ollie (Holloway) get his troops off to a good start, here is a manager full of passion and belief and plays football the right way. I feel they are a couple of players short of a promotion team in my view but with the skills of the management they could overcome that difficulty.
Today I will be placing my bet based on statistics, a few weeks ago I wrote a blog showing the trend for draws in league 2 for relegated teams. So today I will be following that trend and placing a Yankee on all 4 games ending in a draw.
For anyone not sure what a Yankee is I shall give a quick explanation.
A Yankee is made up of 11 bets, so a £1 yankee will cost you £11.
It involves betting on the different combination of games to form doubles, trebles and a 4 timer. The theory is that should one game go south you can still collect on the other 3 games should they deliver.
So
Double bets = 6 bets
Treble bets = 4 bets
4 Timer = 1
In the case of my games if all 4 games win I will collect £339
If I felt that the 4 games would win and I didn't need to split my money on multiple bets i could place £11 on the win. In this case it will return £1363.
As you can see there is a massive difference in the returns, however if I predict 1 game wrong I can still get a smaller return from my Yankee bet but the single £11 bet is dead in the water.
I will also have a bet on Reading to start off with a win at home
AFC Wimbledon V Bristol Rovers (23/10)
Swindon V Crewe (12/5)
Macclesfield Town V Dagenham and Redbridge (9/4 Bluesq)
Shrewsbury V Plymouth Argyle (12/5)
All games to Draw
Reading To Beat Millwall (5/6 Bluesq)
Showing posts with label wimbledon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wimbledon. Show all posts
Saturday, 6 August 2011
Friday, 29 July 2011
The New Domestic English Football Season 2011/2012 Has Arrived
It seems a long time since the FA Cup final back in May, and even longer was the fateful day Arsenal turned up at Wembley to collect their Carling Cup only to be turned over by Birmingham City, this seemed to be the trigger for the end of the Arsenal fight on all fronts. That game was played in front of 88,851 screaming fans and countless TV viewers and radio listeners. The date was the 27 February 2011 and unbeknown to all that result was going to have an effect on the 2011-2012 Carling Cup competition.
A number of years ago the authorities brought in a rule in England stating that any side qualifying for European competition would get a bye to the third round of the Carling Cup. This was to save a game for those tired footballers that had to fly around Europe in Business Class (stay focused Martin don't get side tracked). As Birmingham won the Cup they get a bye to the third round of the competition, and because they were relegated it means that there is now an odd number of sides in the first round of the cup! This is an interesting scenario as it hasnt come up before in this competition - we had a similar issue when Man United decided to play in the Club World Championship rather than fulfill their domestic obligations and play in the FA Cup.
The solution to this problem was that the 2 lowest ranked sides would have a play off to see who will go into the first round of the Carling Cup proper. The 2 lowest ranked sides from last season playing in this seasons competition are Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, the 2 sides promoted from the Conference. It seems a shame that one of these 2 will miss out on playing a more lucrative first round tie however it seems the logical solution.
So tonight, 29 July 2011 the Carling Cup begins when Crawley Town entertain AFC Wimbledon. The winners will go on to play away at Crystal Palace. This seems rather interesting as Wimbledon used to be tenants at the home of Crystal Palace before they upset many people and decamped to Milton Keynes. Are the footballing gods looking down on us and telling us that Wimbledon will get their day at Selhurst Park or will the match go the way of big money spenders Crawley?
Last season these sides both won the home fixtures against each other, so i believe this game will be closer than the bookies seem to want to make out.
Crawley are available at 8/11 , its 5/2 the draw and Wimbledon a huge 10/3.
If nothing else this game may give a us a view to how the teams have got on in the summer recruiting players and how well they will gel in the early weeks of the season.
So here we go! the domestic football season gets underway tonight, probably for the first time its before the Charity Shield (or community shield) that is the season curtain raiser. For me, I may watch the game and look at some in play markets.
To see my bet status click here
A number of years ago the authorities brought in a rule in England stating that any side qualifying for European competition would get a bye to the third round of the Carling Cup. This was to save a game for those tired footballers that had to fly around Europe in Business Class (stay focused Martin don't get side tracked). As Birmingham won the Cup they get a bye to the third round of the competition, and because they were relegated it means that there is now an odd number of sides in the first round of the cup! This is an interesting scenario as it hasnt come up before in this competition - we had a similar issue when Man United decided to play in the Club World Championship rather than fulfill their domestic obligations and play in the FA Cup.
The solution to this problem was that the 2 lowest ranked sides would have a play off to see who will go into the first round of the Carling Cup proper. The 2 lowest ranked sides from last season playing in this seasons competition are Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, the 2 sides promoted from the Conference. It seems a shame that one of these 2 will miss out on playing a more lucrative first round tie however it seems the logical solution.
So tonight, 29 July 2011 the Carling Cup begins when Crawley Town entertain AFC Wimbledon. The winners will go on to play away at Crystal Palace. This seems rather interesting as Wimbledon used to be tenants at the home of Crystal Palace before they upset many people and decamped to Milton Keynes. Are the footballing gods looking down on us and telling us that Wimbledon will get their day at Selhurst Park or will the match go the way of big money spenders Crawley?
Last season these sides both won the home fixtures against each other, so i believe this game will be closer than the bookies seem to want to make out.
Crawley are available at 8/11 , its 5/2 the draw and Wimbledon a huge 10/3.
If nothing else this game may give a us a view to how the teams have got on in the summer recruiting players and how well they will gel in the early weeks of the season.
So here we go! the domestic football season gets underway tonight, probably for the first time its before the Charity Shield (or community shield) that is the season curtain raiser. For me, I may watch the game and look at some in play markets.
To see my bet status click here
Thursday, 30 June 2011
Off topic - how to find a situation where I cannot lose at Wimbledon
Its often said that its important to find a way to ensure you have a situation where you bet and cannot lose. As I find myself in this situation today I thought I would share it with you.
Last week I placed a £20 bet on Maria Sharapova to win the womens singles at Wimbledon. The price offered by Bluesq was 4/1. This gives me a healthy £80 should she win. The bet was speculative as the big names were all still in the tournament however i felt the route to the final for Maria was fairly open. As it turned out this proved to be the case and today Maria won her semi as did Kvitova. Now I know very little abouth Kvitova apart from she is 21 and in her first final.
Maria is now 4/9 to win and Kvitova is 13/8. I worked out that if i bet £13 on Kvitova and she beat Maria I would be up £1.25 on all bets. Its better obviously if Maria wins however I have a route to making sure I don't lose and keep my bankroll.
However something else came up in my inbox. An email from Betfair offering me a no lose situation! All I have to do is place £10 on a tennis exchange and if my bet loses I get my money back! So now I can bet on Kvitova knowing if she wins I cover my loses on Sharapova however if she loses as expected I win my initial bet and I get my £10 back for a further bet!
The key point here is that by having multiple accounts I can take offers from different bookmakers at different times to keep me in the money!
If you need a new accounts click on one of the bookmaker links today, they will offer you free bets on setup and you can start splitting you bets to try and shore up any potential losses!
Last week I placed a £20 bet on Maria Sharapova to win the womens singles at Wimbledon. The price offered by Bluesq was 4/1. This gives me a healthy £80 should she win. The bet was speculative as the big names were all still in the tournament however i felt the route to the final for Maria was fairly open. As it turned out this proved to be the case and today Maria won her semi as did Kvitova. Now I know very little abouth Kvitova apart from she is 21 and in her first final.
Maria is now 4/9 to win and Kvitova is 13/8. I worked out that if i bet £13 on Kvitova and she beat Maria I would be up £1.25 on all bets. Its better obviously if Maria wins however I have a route to making sure I don't lose and keep my bankroll.
However something else came up in my inbox. An email from Betfair offering me a no lose situation! All I have to do is place £10 on a tennis exchange and if my bet loses I get my money back! So now I can bet on Kvitova knowing if she wins I cover my loses on Sharapova however if she loses as expected I win my initial bet and I get my £10 back for a further bet!
The key point here is that by having multiple accounts I can take offers from different bookmakers at different times to keep me in the money!
If you need a new accounts click on one of the bookmaker links today, they will offer you free bets on setup and you can start splitting you bets to try and shore up any potential losses!
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